High-probability bonds

Near-certain Polymarket outcomes ranked by annualized yield.

83
Markets
930.2%
Avg APY
6959.8%
Best APY
27
Expiring Today
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Spread: Academia Puerto Cabello (-2.5)
NO 95.0%5.26%9h left
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Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 0.5
YES 95.2%5.04%9h left
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Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 95.9%4.33%894d left
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Caracas FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 5.5
NO 96.0%4.22%9h left
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Spread: CA Juventud (-1.5)
NO 96.0%4.17%9h left
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Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 96.2%4.00%53d left
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Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-05-27?
NO 96.3%3.90%9h left
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Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-1.5)
NO 96.8%3.31%9h left
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Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 5.5
NO 97.0%3.15%9h left
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Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 0.5
YES 97.0%3.09%9h left
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Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be greater than $150M at market close on IPO day?
NO 97.0%3.04%3h left
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Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 97.3%2.83%894d left
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Spread: Caracas FC (-2.5)
NO 97.4%2.72%9h left
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Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 97.5%2.62%53d left
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Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-2.5)
NO 97.5%2.51%9h left
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Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)
NO 97.6%2.46%9h left
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Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 97.8%2.30%894d left
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Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 98.0%2.09%894d left
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Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $90M and $110M at market close on IPO day?
NO 98.0%2.09%3h left
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Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 98.0%1.99%53d left
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Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 98.3%1.78%53d left
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Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 98.3%1.78%53d left
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Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $110M and $130M at market close on IPO day?
NO 98.3%1.78%3h left
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Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 98.4%1.68%894d left
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Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?
YES 98.5%1.52%3h left
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Spread: CA Juventud (-2.5)
NO 98.5%1.52%9h left
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Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 98.6%1.47%53d left
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Spread: Academia Puerto Cabello (-1.5)
NO 98.6%1.47%9h left
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Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 98.7%1.37%894d left
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Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 98.8%1.27%894d left
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Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 98.8%1.27%894d left
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Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 98.9%1.16%53d left
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Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 98.9%1.16%894d left
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Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5)
NO 98.9%1.16%9h left
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Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $130M and $150M at market close on IPO day?
NO 98.9%1.11%3h left
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Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.0%1.06%53d left
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Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.0%1.06%53d left
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Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.0%1.06%53d left
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Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.0%1.06%894d left
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Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.1%0.96%894d left
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Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.1%0.96%894d left
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Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.1%0.96%894d left
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Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $140M and $155M at market close on IPO day?
NO 99.1%0.91%3h left
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Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.2%0.86%53d left
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Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.2%0.86%894d left
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Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.3%0.76%53d left
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Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.3%0.76%894d left
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Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.3%0.76%894d left
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Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.3%0.76%894d left
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Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.3%0.76%894d left
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Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.3%0.76%894d left
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Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.3%0.76%894d left
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Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.3%0.76%894d left
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Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.3%0.76%894d left
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Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.4%0.65%53d left
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Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.4%0.65%53d left
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Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.4%0.65%894d left
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Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.4%0.65%894d left
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Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.4%0.65%894d left
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Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NO 99.4%0.65%894d left
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Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)
NO 99.4%0.60%9h left
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Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.5%0.55%53d left
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Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.5%0.55%53d left
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Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day?
NO 99.5%0.55%3h left
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Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be greater than $170M at market close on IPO day?
NO 99.6%0.45%3h left
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Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.7%0.35%53d left
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Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $155M and $170M at market close on IPO day?
NO 99.7%0.30%3h left
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Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?
NO 99.7%0.30%3h left
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Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.8%0.25%53d left
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Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.8%0.25%53d left
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Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.8%0.25%53d left
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Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.8%0.25%53d left
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Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.8%0.25%53d left
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Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.8%0.25%53d left
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Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.8%0.25%53d left
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Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.8%0.25%53d left
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GTA VI released before June 2026?
NO 99.9%0.15%95h left
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Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.9%0.15%53d left
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Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.9%0.15%53d left
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Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.9%0.15%53d left
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Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NO 99.9%0.15%53d left
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Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day?
NO 99.9%0.15%3h left
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Games Total: O/U 2.5
NO 99.9%0.10%3h left
83 of 83 markets