High-probability bonds

Near-certain Polymarket outcomes ranked by annualized yield.

56
Markets
146.2%
Avg APY
1003.9%
Best APY
9
Expiring Today
|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
99.5%1003.9%5h left
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
96.7%>9999%1h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 19?
95.5%920.8%45h left
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 17?
100.0%530.7%1h left
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
100.0%530.7%1h left
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on March 19?
97.5%511.4%45h left
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 16 above $170?
96.0%501.2%73h left
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 16 above $590?
96.0%501.2%73h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18?
98.9%489.4%21h left
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
98.5%462.8%29h left
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 16 above $365?
97.0%378.4%73h left
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
100.0%240.0%2h left
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT Playoffs
100.0%240.0%2h left
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on March 20?
98.5%200.4%69h left
Games Total: O/U 3.5
100.0%181.9%2h left
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 Winner
100.0%181.9%2h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 18?
99.6%168.9%21h left
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner
100.0%155.1%3h left
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
100.0%142.5%3h left
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of March?
95.5%122.5%14d left
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of March?
96.3%101.3%14d left
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on March 23?
99.0%66.0%141h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 18?
99.9%63.2%21h left
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 16 above $2.00?
99.6%54.4%73h left
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 16 above $50?
99.7%42.2%73h left
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
98.7%36.4%13d left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 19?
99.9%29.4%45h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 18?
100.0%21.0%21h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 18?
100.0%21.0%21h left
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 18?
100.0%21.0%21h left
Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
96.7%17.5%71d left
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $1.00 end of March?
99.6%11.8%14d left
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on March 19?
100.0%9.8%45h left
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
95.5%8.7%196d left
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-18 House seat?
95.0%8.3%231d left
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
99.4%7.5%29d left
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?
99.6%5.6%26d left
Will Hyperliquid reach $42 by December 31, 2026?
95.8%5.6%289d left
Will Drake release an album in 2026?
97.0%4.0%
Murcia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon
100.0%3.3%135h left
Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harris
100.0%3.2%139h left
Morelos: Alafia Ayeni vs Keegan Smith
100.0%3.1%141h left
Murcia: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Saba Purtseladze
100.0%2.7%162h left
Arthur Fery vs. Yunchaokete Bu: Total Sets O/U 2.5
100.0%2.7%163h left
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Assche
100.0%2.7%163h left
Miami Open, Qualification: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu
100.0%2.7%163h left
Miami Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Coleman Wong
100.0%2.7%163h left
Miami Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Yue Yuan
100.0%2.7%163h left
Miami Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Bianca Andreescu
100.0%2.7%163h left
Murcia: Felix Gill vs Filip Pieczonka
100.0%2.7%163h left
Miami Open, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Donna Vekic
100.0%2.7%164h left
Will Drake release a new song in 2026?
98.0%2.5%
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
98.8%1.5%289d left
ChatGPT Outage by March 31?
100.0%1.4%13d left
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
99.5%0.7%289d left
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?
99.1%0.5%654d left
56 of 56 markets